Magic Formula Investing

Using the Magic Formula for investing; based on "The Little Book that Beats the Market" I started a real life test with $50,000 of my own money. The blog described the process, thoughts, pain and ongoing updates on this adventure.

Wednesday, February 21, 2007

Batman, Robin and Joel Greenblatt II

All superhero movies have a sequel - so why not this post ? Although I am not sure I can go as far as the Batman sequels - they must be at number 5 or 6 by now.

Somebody pointed out on the Yahoo Magic Formula group that the Gotham fund only represents their stock investments and we do not really know about their other investments - which is a good point. But Greenblatt is famous for focusing on 5-8 stocks in the portfolio and I believe the historical returns of his funds are based just on these stocks funds. They had about 6 stocks a year ago -but now it's just those 2. And on top of that -- options - (sorry I just can't get over that)

You must have the following convictions for doing this:
- total faith in the overall market not having an adjustment >> even a 10-15% adjustment could wipe out the total investment - so there must be very little concern about that happening.

- believe in these stocks to really gain fairly quickly >> I guess one could sell the options and buy new ones - but the turnaround cost are pretty high and with this type of volume it can't be that easy to make buy and sell decisions. So no 2-3 year window here ..

- believe the stocks really take off >> again, these are option investments - the volume can be a big problem. A 30% gain may mean very little if you can't sell and turn into a much smaller return. I am not an expert on options - but I see my gains not fully materialize on good days and the volume is soooo low.

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